By Brad Fitch, CEO, Knowlegis
Nearly every group in the U.S. involved in public policy
will experience a “perfect storm” next year. A series of
events will converge, mostly around Congress, to bring
about substantial changes in legislation and regulations,
profoundly impacting millions of Americans for decades
to come.
The new Congress and new administration will initiate a
series of policy debates affecting nearly every grassroots
organizer, professional lobbyist, and amateur advocate
in America. As one of Washington’s leading lobbyists, H.
Stewart Van Scoyoc of Van Scoyoc Associates, said recently,
“I’ve lived through a couple of transitions of significant
magnitude, and next year will probably be a transition of
the most significance that I can recall.”
Which political fronts are lining up to make 2009, “The
Year of the Advocate?”
New President. Every administration brings a host of
proposals, but both of these presidential candidates
pack a saddlebag full of ideas. Barack Obama and John
McCain both demonstrate energy in the policy arena
and both indicate a willingness to “change” Washington.
The controversies that accompany these new proposals
should cause every advocate – professional or amateur – to consider the impact that either a GOP or Democratic
administration would have on their issues.
President from the Senate. For the first time since John
F. Kennedy, a president will be elected directly from the
Senate. Governors like Bill Clinton and George W. Bush
applied an “executive style” of management. Barack
Obama and John McCain’s management style will vastly
differ because when they think about getting things
done, they think like a legislator. Additionally, their relations
with and understandings of the current Congress will
likely enable them to accomplish more legislatively.
Pent Up Desire for Action Among Congressional Democrats. The last two years haven’t exactly been a legislative windfall
for the winners of the 2006 elections. President Bush and
the Republicans’ ability to use the Senate filibuster have
blocked many Democratic initiatives. However, House
and Senate Democrats possess a lot of legislative steam
in their engine, and it’s been building up since the GOP
takeover in 1994. As early as last year, Democrat leaders
began strategizing to wait until George W. Bush left office
before advancing key parts of their agenda. Plus, with
nearly every political prognosticator predicting gains by
Democrats in the upcoming 2008 election, 2009 will be
the best year since 1993 for Democrats to get their favorite
bills enacted.
Pent Up Desire for Action on Major Issues. Congressional
gridlock in Washington, D.C. will force a variety of major
issues on the 2009 congressional agenda, including health
care, immigration, energy, and taxes. In addition, most of
the FY2009 appropriations bills, which technically need to
be passed by September 30, will likely be postponed until
the new Congress convenes.
The last time we saw something this close to a perfect
storm was in 1993 with the election of Bill Clinton.
However, the Internet allows every group in America to
maintain a large grassroots presence, a dynamic that did
not exist in 1993. Despite this, the winners of the upcoming
2009 debates will not be decided by a grassroots
network’s sheer numbers, but by the quality of those
activists and their individual advocacy skills.
Brad Fitch is the CEO of Knowlegis, a Capitol Advantage company. For more information about Knowlegis and its suite of online tools, please call us at 703.289.9816. |